The two best of three dice
Three fair dice are rolled and the lowest one is thrown away (if several dice tie for lowest, only one is thrown away). Make a fair market: find the expected sum of the two remaining dice.
Fractions, decimals with at least 3 significant digits, and expressions such as sqrt(2)/2, e^-1 or pi/4.
The two highest add up to the total of the three dice minus the smallest one.
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s Shown after a correct answer. Revealing it first marks the problem as seen, not solved.
Idea. Instead of finding the two best dice, subtract the worst one from the total. The expected minimum has a neat formula through its tail probabilities.
Step 1: the total. Three dice add up to on average.
Step 2: the minimum. The minimum is at least when all three dice are, with probability . So which is .
Step 3.
As a market. A fair price is about 8.46; a market maker would quote around it, for example 8.3 at 8.6.