Problem 165
easy
Guessing a quiz
A quiz has 5 questions, each with 3 possible answers, exactly one of them correct. You guess every answer uniformly at random.
Find the probability of getting at least 4 answers right.
Answer
Fractions, decimals with at least 3 significant digits, and expressions such as sqrt(2)/2, e^-1 or pi/4.
Hints 0/2
The number of correct answers is binomial with and .
Add the probabilities of exactly 4 and exactly 5 correct answers.
h
Solution
s Shown after a correct answer. Revealing it first marks the problem as seen, not solved.
Idea. Each guess is right with probability , independently, so the number of correct answers is binomial.
Step 1: exactly 5. .
Step 2: exactly 4. Choose the wrong question in 5 ways:
Step 3.