Sealed bids, three bidders
Three bidders compete for one item. Each has a private value for it, independent and uniform on . They submit sealed bids; the highest bid wins and pays its own bid (first-price auction). Each bidder bids a fixed fraction of their value, and in equilibrium nobody can gain by bidding differently.
Find the seller's expected revenue.
Fractions, decimals with at least 3 significant digits, and expressions such as sqrt(2)/2, e^-1 or pi/4.
Suppose the other two bid times their values. With value , what is your probability of winning with a bid , and your expected profit?
The revenue is the winning bid: times the largest of three uniform values.
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Idea. First find the equilibrium bid by maximising one bidder's expected profit against the others. Then the revenue is that fraction of the expected highest value.
Step 1: best response. The other two bid and . A bid wins when both are below it, with probability . With value , the expected profit is Setting the derivative in to zero, , so .
Step 2: equilibrium. So bidding of one's value is the best reply when the others do the same.
Step 3: revenue. The winning bid is , and the maximum of three uniforms has mean . So the expected revenue is
Revenue equivalence. In a second-price auction, everyone bids their value and the winner pays the second highest value, whose mean is also . That is no accident: under these conditions every standard auction gives the seller the same expected revenue. With bidders the equilibrium bid is and the revenue .